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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Ma | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 10d |
| Rakesh Christian | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 10d |
| David Collenberg | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 10d |
| Sean Collinson | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 10d |
| David Fennell | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 10d |
| Josh Fryday | 0% | −1 pts | −22 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 10d |
| Janelle Kellman | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 10d |
| Jeyson Lopez | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 10d |
| Ebie Lynch | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 10d |
| Oliver Ma | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 10d |
| Michael Tubbs | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 10d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136d |  Cloverince | Jeyson Lopez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,144 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 136d | Trustinghorse | Sean Collinson | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,281 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fiona Ma means the market gives it about 100%.
