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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717d | fatfat99222 | Kamala Harris | SellYes>99¢ | $18,808 | −$76 −0.4% | — |
| 717d |  DEGENKHAN2 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $5,548 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 717d | AdrianVeidt | Kamala Harris | SellYes>99¢ | $8,199 | −$33 −0.4% | — |
| 717d |  Eatplantsnotanimals | Kamala Harris | SellYes>99¢ | $2,665 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 717d |  Cajetan7 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,659 | +$214 +1.1% | 10 |
| 717d | 5TudorDivers | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,859 | −$48 −0.5% | — |
| 717d | mitraa2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,900 | +$100 +0.2% | 10 |
| 717d |  MLBksRETARD | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,176 | +$32 +0.2% | 10 |
| 717d |  Brokie | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,880 | +$120 +0.6% | 10 |
| 717d | diceandfight12 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $64,859 | +$836 +1.3% | 10 |
| 717d | DEGENKHAN3 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,644 | −$77 −1.0% | — |
| 717d | BigFatO3 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,722 | +$156 +1.2% | 10 |
| 717d | diceandfight9 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $47,893 | +$632 +1.3% | 10 |
| 717d | CMC203 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $40,000 | +$569 +1.4% | 10 |
| 717d | cigarettes14 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $47,492 | +$709 +1.5% | 10 |
| 717d | Champ9 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $98,721 | +$1,411 +1.4% | 10 |
| 717d | wokerjoesleeper16 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $59,595 | +$886 +1.5% | 10 |
| 717d |  KingZeManel3 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$85 +1.1% | 10 |
| 717d | Champ9 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $103,864 | +$1,471 +1.4% | 10 |
| 718d | Dafy | Kamala Harris | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,255 | −$83 −2.6% | — |
| 718d | Gdub3 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,108 | +$199 +1.5% | 10 |
| 718d | elPolloLoco | Kamala Harris | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,648 | −$52 −2.0% | — |
| 718d | Mr.Chud | Kamala Harris | BuyNo2¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 20 |
| 718d | Gdub2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,165 | +$82 +1.1% | 10 |
| 718d | gdizzle | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,500 | +$115 +1.2% | 10 |
| 719d | oVyg7f13 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $32,781 | +$422 +1.3% | 10 |
| 719d | wokerjoesleeper9 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,190 | +$27 +0.1% | 10 |
| 719d | Cajetan8 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,055 | +$17 +0.1% | 10 |
| 719d | oVyg7f3 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,349 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 719d | cigarettes12 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,085 | +$26 +0.1% | 10 |
| 719d |  Imbajimba3 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $79,544 | +$842 +1.1% | 10 |
| 720d | AZwater | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,513 | +$53 +1.0% | 10 |
| 720d | fatfat992224 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $36,493 | +$507 +1.4% | 10 |
| 722d | ramibtc | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$121 +1.7% | 10 |
| 722d | Worthwhile-Clarification2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,607 | +$199 +1.9% | 10 |
| 723d |  scout | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,174 | +$65 +2.0% | 10 |
| 725d | luciousleft3 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,577 | +$266 +2.1% | 10 |
| 725d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $8,200 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 725d |  Skip-Earthwax | Kamala Harris | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | −$26 −2.3% | — |
| 727d | 5TudorDivers2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$77 +1.9% | 10 |
| 728d | Masteroso | Kamala Harris | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,614 | −$162 −2.5% | — |
| 729d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly6 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $24,354 | −$561 −2.3% | — |
| 729d | ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $20,022 | −$520 −2.6% | — |
| 732d |  BigMike11 | Donald Trump | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | −$26 −2.1% | — |
| 733d | Masteroso2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,652 | +$124 +1.9% | 10 |
| 736d | Pmmmw | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,008 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 736d | Pmmmw | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 736d | DEGENKHAN | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,706 | +$44 +2.6% | 10 |
| 736d | CoolBetguy | Kamala Harris | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,645 | +$42 +2.6% | 10 |
| 736d | motimoti | Kamala Harris | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$34 −3.4% | — |
| 736d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $17,165 | +$463 +2.7% | 10 |
| 736d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Kamala Harris | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,858 | +$210 +3.1% | 10 |
| 736d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente3 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,615 | +$278 +4.2% | 10 |
| 737d |  fhantombets | Donald Trump | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,454 | −$141 −4.1% | — |
| 737d | AdrianVeidt2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$193 +2.8% | 10 |
| 738d | kingfisher | Donald Trump | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$47 −4.1% | — |
| 738d | Dafy2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,206 | +$132 +4.1% | 10 |
| 738d | elPolloLoco | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,492 | −$108 −3.1% | — |
| 738d | kingfisher | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,296 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 738d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente3 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,752 | −$204 −3.5% | — |
This is a market on the winner of the California presidential election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kamala Harris means the market gives it about 100%.