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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Republican | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | −47 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d |  sorcerer.02 | Republican | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,102 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d | sorcerer.02 | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,112 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 717d | Chad-Wasp | Republican | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,176 | +$24 +0.3% | 10 |
| 717d | Champ | Democrat | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$12 +0.8% | 10 |
| 719d |  Cajetan | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,331 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 761d |  Charmie | Republican | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,813 | −$37 −2.0% | — |
| 779d | Charmie | Democrat | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | −$44 −3.6% | — |
| 806d | DunkBruntley | Republican | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | +$38 +2.5% | 10 |
| 807d | khabib-706 | Democrat | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,322 | +$137 +4.1% | 10 |
| 808d | Kevindoto | Democrat | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$61 +5.2% | 10 |
| 808d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Democrat | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,353 | +$71 +5.3% | 10 |
| 811d |  scottilicious | Democrat | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,232 | −$168 −5.2% | — |
| 813d |  VibesGreaterRules | Democrat | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | −$60 −5.1% | — |
| 832d | scottilicious | Democrat | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,128 | +$272 +8.7% | 10 |
This is a market on the outcome of the California Senate election, focusing on which candidate will win the seat.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Democrat means the market gives it about 100%.