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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 482d | pkz | Canada out of Five Eyes before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,379 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 486d | Canada out of Five Eyes before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 560d | Ineedhole | Canada out of Five Eyes before July? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$74 +5.8% | 4 |
| 604d | rulki2 fills | Canada out of Five Eyes before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,443 | +$193 +5.6% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada formally exits the Five Eyes intelligence alliance by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal exit means an official announcement any member country stating that Canada is no longer a member of the Five Eyes alliance. An official announcement that Canada will leave the Five Eyes will qualify regardless of whether that exit to be made outside of this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source will be information from relevant governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.