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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 625d | abeautifulmind | Carabao Cup: Arsenal vs. Newcastle (To Advance) | BuyNewcastle75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 11 |
| 625d | albertoto | Carabao Cup: Arsenal vs. Newcastle (To Advance) | BuyArsenal26¢ → 0¢ | $3,021 | −$3,021 −100% | 12 |
| 649d |  okalright | Carabao Cup: Arsenal vs. Newcastle (To Advance) | SellNewcastle80¢ → 100¢ | $2,512 | −$628 −25% | — |
| 654d | P1kaso | Carabao Cup: Arsenal vs. Newcastle (To Advance) | BuyNewcastle80¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$800 +25% | 4 |
| 654d | Marcus1772 fills | Carabao Cup: Arsenal vs. Newcastle (To Advance) | BuyNewcastle97¢ → 100¢ | $3,310 | +$101 +3.1% | 4 |
| 654d | okalright | Carabao Cup: Arsenal vs. Newcastle (To Advance) | BuyNewcastle98¢ → 100¢ | $7,536 | +$154 +2.0% | 4 |
This market refers to the Carabao Cup Semifinal between Arsenal and Newcastle, consisting of two legs. The first leg is scheduled for January 7, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, and the second leg is scheduled for February 5, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If Arsenal advances to the Carabao Cup Final, this market will resolve to “Arsenal.” If Newcastle advances to the Carabao Cup Final, this market will resolve to "Newcastle". If both legs of the semifinal are canceled or postponed beyond February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Carabao Cup.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.