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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,084 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 296d | antena | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,107 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 296d | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,461 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 297d | Jakequantix | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,998 | +$25 +0.6% | 2 |
| 298d | scuf | Cardano ETF in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$21 −1.4% | — |
| 303d | bean125 | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,449 | +$24 +1.6% | 2 |
| 305d | tiredShip | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$26 +2.0% | 2 |
| 321d | superblueinc2 fills | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$962 +14% | 2 |
| 321d | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$94 +8.7% | 2 | |
| 337d | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $8,498 | +$1,963 +23% | 2 | |
| 343d | bobrik | Cardano ETF in 2025? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | −$692 −49% | — |
| 350d | Coordinated-Agreement | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $3,377 | +$2,141 +63% | 2 |
| 353d | dfiofsi2 fills | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,951 +74% | 2 |
| 400d | K1ngN0rth | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,318 | −$1,318 −100% | 2 |
| 422d | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,217 | −$1,217 −100% | 2 | |
| 437d | seniordongato | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $1,835 | −$1,835 −100% | 2 |
| 579d | Elunara | Cardano ETF in 2025? | SellNo38¢ → 100¢ | $29,549 | −$48,211 −163% | — |
| 579d | Elunara | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyNo39¢ → 100¢ | $30,342 | +$47,458 +156% | 9 |
| 593d | Xalvarin | Cardano ETF in 2025? | SellNo31¢ → 100¢ | $29,641 | −$65,976 −223% | — |
| 593d | Calythius | Cardano ETF in 2025? | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $65,976 | −$65,976 −100% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Cardano (ADA) ETF receives approval from the SEC by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Approval under Rule 19-4b will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, even if there has not been an S-1 approval. Similarly, an S-1 approval without a 19-4b approval will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.