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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Athletic Club | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol) | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 254d | alruelop | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | SellYes>99¢ | $1,268 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | shiniandugou | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | SellYes>99¢ | $2,651 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | jakefisher936 | Athletic Club | SellNo>99¢ | $1,369 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | Remarkable-Princess | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | SellYes>99¢ | $1,561 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | hanlun | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | SellYes>99¢ | $1,509 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | hanlun | Athletic Club | SellNo>99¢ | $9,086 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | shiniandugou | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,501 | +$153 +6.1% | 4 |
| 254d | hanlun | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | +$272 +22% | 4 |
| 254d | hanlun | Athletic Club | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$95 +1.1% | 4 |
| 254d | 0xCB7 | Draw (Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol) | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | +$1,150 +100% | — |
| 254d | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | SellYes30¢ → 100¢ | $2,408 | −$5,618 −233% | — | |
| 254d | swisstony2 fills | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $3,308 | +$7,574 +229% | 4 |
| 254d | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | SellYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$2,650 −233% | — | |
| 254d | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | SellYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,925 | −$4,491 −233% | — | |
| 254d | leochan22 fills | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $19,077 | −$19,077 −100% | 4 |
| 254d | swisstony | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $2,714 | −$2,714 −100% | 4 |
| 254d | rox119 | Athletic Club | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 14 |
| 254d | swisstony | Athletic Club | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,571 | −$1,571 −100% | 14 |
| 254d | swisstony | Draw (Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol) | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,435 | −$1,435 −100% | 14 |
| 254d | NorthBalticMan98 fills | Athletic Club | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $19,223 | +$10,816 +56% | 14 |
| 254d | Tann | Athletic Club | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Wednesday, February 11, 2026 between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad de Fútbol.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Real Sociedad de Fútbol means the market gives it about 100%.