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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 100% | −7 pts | −5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club) | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Athletic Club | 0% | −2 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232d | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | SellYes>99¢ | $1,128 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 232d | Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,363 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 232d | Athletic Club | SellNo>99¢ | $1,910 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 232d | Tattered-Hay | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,811 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 232d | ZZB2 | Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$145 +6.0% | 4 |
| 232d | ZZB2 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,361 | +$183 +7.8% | 4 |
| 232d | Alive-Darn | Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club) | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$102 +8.5% | 5 |
| 232d | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,431 | +$662 +15% | 4 | |
| 232d | zuchara | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,772 | −$254 −14% | — |
| 232d | toanhtoanh | Athletic Club | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,920 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 232d | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,473 | +$314 +13% | 4 | |
| 232d | swisstony7 fills | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $24,746 | +$34,392 +139% | 14 |
| 232d | Powerless-Diving | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,952 | +$558 +11% | 4 |
| 232d | Powerless-Diving | Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club) | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 4 |
| 232d | swisstony2 fills | Athletic Club | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,868 | +$978 +34% | 11 |
| 232d | swisstony3 fills | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $5,694 | −$5,694 −100% | 12 |
| 232d | zuchara | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes27¢ → 100¢ | $1,934 | +$5,214 +270% | 4 |
| 232d | Erickaguilar | Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club) | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,288 | −$1,288 −100% | 4 |
| 232d | swisstony | Athletic Club | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,830 | −$1,830 −100% | 4 |
| 232d | elizabeth.ethcome | Athletic Club | SellYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | +$1,070 +100% | — |
| 233d | Athletic Club | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $3,719 | +$2,092 +56% | 4 | |
| 233d | elizabeth.ethcome | Athletic Club | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,481 | −$1,481 −100% | 4 |
| 233d | potatus12 | Athletic Club | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | −$1,166 −47% | — |
| 233d | rox1194 fills | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $4,740 | +$7,260 +153% | 14 |
| 233d | Cannae2 fills | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $2,005 | +$3,137 +156% | 14 |
| 233d | therighteousdog3 fills | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $19,852 | −$19,852 −100% | 14 |
| 233d | lebronjames23 | Athletic Club | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $2,375 | −$2,375 −100% | 14 |
| 233d | Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club) | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$575 +37% | 11 | |
| 233d | GetaLife | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $6,271 | +$7,667 +122% | 12 |
| 234d | laurenjohnston2 fills | Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club) | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $4,032 | −$4,032 −100% | 9 |
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 4, 2026 between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Athletic Club.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Real Sociedad de Fútbol means the market gives it about 100%.