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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State vs. Duke | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% | +7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% | +8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | 0x0limit | Spread -3.5 | SellArizona State>99¢ | $11,988 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | Stormy-Sherbet | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellDuke>99¢ | $2,008 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | omarlittle2 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellDuke85¢ → 100¢ | $2,589 | −$469 −18% | — |
| 296d | kennethsol | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellDuke>99¢ | $5,113 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | Jack0nchain | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellDuke>99¢ | $12,789 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | Smallfalcons2000 | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellDuke>99¢ | $2,834 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | cbfan | Spread -3.5 | SellArizona State>99¢ | $2,805 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | moje999 | Spread -3.5 | SellArizona State>99¢ | $45,416 | −$45 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | Functional-Witchhunt | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellDuke99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 296d | dfsgretfewqrfew | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke94¢ → 100¢ | $2,941 | +$188 +6.4% | 4 |
| 296d |  okalright | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellDuke92¢ → 100¢ | $2,761 | −$239 −8.7% | — |
| 296d | curie2 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke79¢ → 100¢ | $3,015 | +$822 +27% | 4 |
| 296d | Jack0nchain | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke98¢ → 100¢ | $12,546 | +$256 +2.0% | 4 |
| 296d | okalright | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 4 |
| 296d | DouYing2 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke99¢ → 100¢ | $3,753 | +$51 +1.4% | 4 |
| 296d |  GamblingIsAllYouNeed2 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke71¢ → 100¢ | $2,890 | +$1,166 +40% | 4 |
| 296d |  RN12 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyArizona State37¢ → 0¢ | $2,882 | −$2,882 −100% | 4 |
| 296d | Smallfalcons2000 | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke73¢ → 100¢ | $2,059 | +$778 +38% | 4 |
| 296d | Smallfalcons2000 | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellArizona State27¢ → 0¢ | $2,059 | +$2,059 +100% | — |
| 296d | Smallfalcons2000 | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyArizona State67¢ → 0¢ | $5,010 | −$5,010 −100% | 4 |
| 296d | omarlittle | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellArizona State63¢ → 0¢ | $1,693 | +$1,693 +100% | — |
| 296d | Circular-State | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyArizona State60¢ → 0¢ | $2,604 | −$2,604 −100% | 4 |
| 296d | Sweet-Ash | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyArizona State48¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 296d | Functional-Witchhunt | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke85¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$224 +17% | 4 |
| 296d | mwenya | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke64¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$713 +55% | 4 |
| 296d | SeriouslySirius | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke62¢ → 100¢ | $4,135 | +$2,584 +62% | 4 |
| 296d | Magnificent-Still | O/U 49.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $5,457 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | MRSILENTTRADES | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyArizona State38¢ → 0¢ | $1,522 | −$1,522 −100% | 4 |
| 296d | BetMechanic2 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke59¢ → 100¢ | $2,390 | +$1,629 +68% | 4 |
| 296d | ZedsDeadBaby | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyArizona State53¢ → 0¢ | $1,574 | −$1,574 −100% | 4 |
| 296d | c4c44 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke61¢ → 100¢ | $18,683 | +$11,796 +63% | 14 |
| 296d | simonbanza | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyArizona State37¢ → 0¢ | $1,850 | −$1,850 −100% | 4 |
| 296d | SeriouslySirius | O/U 49.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $4,038 | +$4,203 +104% | 4 |
| 296d | ckw | O/U 49.5 | BuyUnder51¢ → 0¢ | $5,996 | −$5,996 −100% | 4 |
| 296d | Mikee126 fills | O/U 49.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 100¢ | $44,036 | +$42,032 +95% | 4 |
| 296d | gmpm4 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke63¢ → 100¢ | $51,794 | +$30,817 +59% | 14 |
| 296d | sovereign20132 fills | O/U 49.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $4,618 | +$4,806 +104% | 14 |
| 296d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d089152 fills | O/U 49.5 | BuyOver48¢ → 100¢ | $3,816 | +$4,053 +106% | 14 |
| 296d | SeriouslySirius12 fills | Spread -3.5 | BuyArizona State50¢ → 100¢ | $69,331 | +$69,579 +100% | 12 |
| 296d | bossoskil2 fills | Spread -3.5 | BuyDuke50¢ → 0¢ | $26,674 | −$26,674 −100% | 14 |
| 296d | gmpm | Spread -3.5 | BuyDuke50¢ → 0¢ | $11,442 | −$11,442 −100% | 14 |
| 296d | bossoskil3 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke61¢ → 100¢ | $107,746 | +$68,496 +64% | 14 |
| 296d | c4c45 fills | Spread -3.5 | BuyDuke48¢ → 0¢ | $27,043 | −$27,043 −100% | 14 |
| 296d |  cassiuswinston | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke62¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$1,900 +61% | 14 |
| 296d | 0xf642…0c19 | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke62¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$615 +61% | 14 |
| 296d |  GerryHannon | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyArizona State39¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 14 |
| 296d | Magnificent-Still | O/U 49.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 100¢ | $2,761 | +$2,701 +98% | 20 |
| 296d | kch123 | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke61¢ → 100¢ | $59,037 | +$37,745 +64% | 14 |
| 296d | cbfan | Spread -3.5 | BuyArizona State52¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,308 +92% | 14 |
| 296d | KirksCousin7 fills | Spread -3.5 | BuyDuke49¢ → 0¢ | $17,151 | −$17,151 −100% | 14 |
| 296d | Righs | Spread -3.5 | BuyDuke49¢ → 0¢ | $1,460 | −$1,460 −100% | 14 |
| 296d | bossoskil | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellDuke61¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$950 −64% | — |
| 296d | Ems1232 fills | Spread -3.5 | BuyDuke49¢ → 0¢ | $20,538 | −$20,538 −100% | 14 |
| 296d |  SemyonMarmeladov | Spread -3.5 | BuyArizona State51¢ → 100¢ | $38,734 | +$37,215 +96% | 14 |
| 296d | KirksCousin2 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke61¢ → 100¢ | $6,101 | +$3,901 +64% | 14 |
| 296d | simonbanza2 fills | Arizona State vs. Duke | SellArizona State39¢ → 0¢ | $18,543 | +$18,543 +100% | — |
| 296d | SeriouslySirius | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyArizona State39¢ → 0¢ | $2,952 | −$2,952 −100% | 14 |
| 296d |  PereBoule | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyArizona State40¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 296d | Ems123 | Arizona State vs. Duke | BuyDuke59¢ → 100¢ | $24,866 | +$17,280 +69% | 14 |
| 296d | BoggsFromShawshank | Spread -3.5 | BuyDuke46¢ → 0¢ | $19,964 | −$19,964 −100% | 14 |
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 31 at 2:00PM ET: If the Arizona State win, the market will resolve to "Arizona State". If the Duke win, the market will resolve to "Duke". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Arizona State vs. Duke means the market gives it about 0%.