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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California vs. Louisville | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% | +3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% | +3 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% | +7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 349d |  InsuranceSavesMe | Spread -20.5 | BuyCalifornia>99¢ | $1,775 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 349d | WuTangClan | Spread -19.5 | BuyCalifornia>99¢ | $1,882 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 349d | WuTangClan | Spread -18.5 | BuyCalifornia>99¢ | $1,885 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 349d | WuTangClan | California vs. Louisville | BuyCalifornia>99¢ | $1,470 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 349d | hbx2m | California vs. Louisville | SellCalifornia99¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 349d | 1milformenow2 fills | California vs. Louisville | SellLouisville56¢ → 0¢ | $2,179 | +$2,179 +100% | — |
| 349d | 1milformenow3 fills | California vs. Louisville | BuyLouisville80¢ → 0¢ | $4,858 | −$4,858 −100% | 4 |
| 349d | 0xb786…b18d | California vs. Louisville | BuyCalifornia33¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$2,154 +203% | 4 |
| 349d | bigteddys | California vs. Louisville | BuyLouisville70¢ → 0¢ | $7,309 | −$7,309 −100% | 4 |
| 349d | CrispyPeppermint | California vs. Louisville | BuyCalifornia42¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$1,608 +140% | 4 |
| 349d | Marshmallows | Spread -19.5 | BuyLouisville48¢ → 0¢ | $9,600 | −$9,600 −100% | 14 |
| 349d | Marshmallows | Spread -18.5 | BuyLouisville51¢ → 0¢ | $7,650 | −$7,650 −100% | 14 |
| 349d | wooter3 fills | California vs. Louisville | BuyCalifornia11¢ → 100¢ | $6,107 | +$49,409 +809% | 14 |
| 349d | sportsbettor8 | O/U 49.5 | BuyOver50¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$4,950 +99% | 14 |
| 349d | COMEONDUDE3 fills | Spread -18.5 | BuyLouisville50¢ → 0¢ | $26,785 | −$26,785 −100% | 14 |
| 349d | CanadianGoose | California vs. Louisville | BuyLouisville90¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 7 |
| 349d | wooter | Spread -18.5 | BuyCalifornia51¢ → 100¢ | $6,233 | +$5,989 +96% | 14 |
| 349d | 0x02e65d10e83eb391ca0c466630f82790854e253 fills | California vs. Louisville | BuyLouisville90¢ → 0¢ | $16,297 | −$16,297 −100% | 7 |
| 349d | qwertyasdfghjkl | Spread -18.5 | BuyCalifornia50¢ → 100¢ | $9,350 | +$9,350 +100% | 12 |
| 349d | FavoritesOnly | Spread -18.5 | BuyCalifornia49¢ → 100¢ | $7,117 | +$7,408 +104% | 12 |
| 349d | comon119 | Spread -18.5 | BuyLouisville51¢ → 0¢ | $2,601 | −$2,601 −100% | 12 |
| 349d | sovereign2013 | Spread -18.5 | BuyCalifornia50¢ → 100¢ | $2,508 | +$2,508 +100% | 12 |
| 349d | SeriouslySirius | Spread -18.5 | BuyLouisville50¢ → 0¢ | $5,113 | −$5,113 −100% | 12 |
| 353d | EdwardLewis2 fills | California vs. Louisville | BuyLouisville91¢ → 0¢ | $7,349 | −$7,349 −100% | 5 |
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 8 at 7:00PM ET: If the California win, the market will resolve to "California". If the Louisville win, the market will resolve to "Louisville". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for California vs. Louisville means the market gives it about 100%.