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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Miami (FL) O/U 4.5 | 50% | −1 pts | +1 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Miami (FL) O/U 5.5 | 50% | −1 pts | +5 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | neutralwave23 | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | SellMiami (FL)>99¢ | $2,580 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Noteworthy-Waffle-Customer | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | SellMiami (FL)>99¢ | $49,950 | −$50 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | DaBossHogg | Florida State vs. Miami (FL): O/U 57.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $9,106 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | neutralwave232 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)98¢ → 100¢ | $11,396 | +$207 +1.8% | 4 |
| 5d | takeormake8 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)83¢ → 100¢ | $108,269 | +$22,314 +21% | 4 |
| 5d | Substantial-Service | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)68¢ → 100¢ | $3,341 | +$1,572 +47% | 4 |
| 5d | curie | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)68¢ → 100¢ | $10,186 | +$4,793 +47% | 4 |
| 5d |  Nooserac3 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State38¢ → 0¢ | $7,293 | −$7,293 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | Velin217 | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State32¢ → 0¢ | $7,269 | −$7,269 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | Katalunygeaxvhj2 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | SellFlorida State39¢ → 0¢ | $2,640 | +$2,640 +100% | — |
| 5d | Noteworthy-Waffle-Customer | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)65¢ → 100¢ | $32,500 | +$17,500 +54% | 4 |
| 5d | Nooserac10 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)78¢ → 100¢ | $33,136 | +$9,469 +29% | 4 |
| 5d | 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State36¢ → 0¢ | $1,933 | −$1,933 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | takeormake6 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State36¢ → 0¢ | $10,131 | −$10,131 −100% | 4 |
| 5d |  RN1 | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State36¢ → 0¢ | $4,025 | −$4,025 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | 0x5375…aeea16 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)68¢ → 100¢ | $26,783 | +$12,490 +47% | 4 |
| 5d | madkkee | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)83¢ → 100¢ | $3,689 | +$755 +20% | 4 |
| 5d |  User1244322 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-27.5) | BuyFlorida State99¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 5d | Katalunygeaxvhj2 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State26¢ → 0¢ | $4,239 | −$4,239 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | Substantial-Service2 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State32¢ → 0¢ | $2,988 | −$2,988 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | mooseborzoii5 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)67¢ → 100¢ | $14,871 | +$7,420 +50% | 4 |
| 5d | mooseborzoii5 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State23¢ → 0¢ | $9,560 | −$9,560 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | averagejoetraders2 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)57¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | +$1,740 +76% | 4 |
| 5d | 6512395314597884 | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State56¢ → 0¢ | $1,352 | −$1,352 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | muglishainer | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State36¢ → 0¢ | $1,826 | −$1,826 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | 0xd35a…9328 | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyFlorida State44¢ → 0¢ | $1,371 | −$1,371 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | torta.tech | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | SellMiami (FL)55¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | −$1,337 −82% | — |
| 5d | TAIWANNUMBERONE14 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)83¢ → 100¢ | $91,840 | +$18,964 +21% | 4 |
| 5d | ethanaz | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)80¢ → 100¢ | $15,402 | +$3,851 +25% | 4 |
| 5d | KaneAnalytics5 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)82¢ → 100¢ | $117,568 | +$25,857 +22% | 4 |
| 5d | Markram2 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)82¢ → 100¢ | $4,100 | +$900 +22% | 4 |
| 5d | Justluck9 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-7.5) | BuyMiami (FL)52¢ → 100¢ | $4,186 | +$3,864 +92% | 4 |
| 5d | LesterDiamond2 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL): O/U 55.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 100¢ | $3,178 | +$3,061 +96% | 4 |
| 5d | Harmful-inclusion | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)85¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$208 +18% | 4 |
| 5d | Artimis | Spread: Miami (FL) (-27.5) | BuyFlorida State89¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$149 +12% | 4 |
| 5d | Artimis | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | SellMiami (FL)79¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | −$340 −27% | — |
| 5d | Cashtalkloxk | Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) | SellFlorida State64¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | −$804 −56% | — |
| 5d |  betdge | Florida State vs. Miami (FL): O/U 55.5 | BuyOver35¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$3,250 +186% | 4 |
| 5d | Cashtalkloxk | Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) | BuyFlorida State50¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$1,106 +98% | 4 |
| 5d | Dimpled-Cough | Spread: Miami (FL) (-24.5) | BuyMiami (FL)51¢ → 0¢ | $1,850 | −$1,850 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | torta.tech3 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)91¢ → 100¢ | $5,765 | +$554 +9.6% | 4 |
| 5d | DaBossHogg | Florida State vs. Miami (FL): O/U 57.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 100¢ | $3,743 | +$3,557 +95% | 4 |
| 5d | Wordy-Littleneck | Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) | BuyFlorida State50¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | +$1,679 +102% | 4 |
| 5d | Artimis | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)91¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$146 +9.9% | 4 |
| 5d | n1ck10s | Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) | BuyMiami (FL)70¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | KingKFC3 fills | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)92¢ → 100¢ | $17,880 | +$1,555 +8.7% | 7 |
| 5d |  FaroeseNationalist | Spread: Miami (FL) (-19.5) | BuyMiami (FL)54¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | ferrariChampions2026 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-19.5) | BuyMiami (FL)53¢ → 0¢ | $21,233 | −$21,233 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | HomeRunHazard | Spread: Miami (FL) (-21.5) | BuyMiami (FL)44¢ → 0¢ | $4,776 | −$4,776 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | jaytee158 | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)92¢ → 100¢ | $8,320 | +$723 +8.7% | 7 |
| 5d | Forecastication2 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) | BuyMiami (FL)49¢ → 0¢ | $2,462 | −$2,462 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | gmpm2 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) | BuyFlorida State52¢ → 100¢ | $6,951 | +$6,449 +93% | 14 |
| 5d |  nigiri99 | Florida State vs. Miami (FL): O/U 57.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$1,235 +104% | 14 |
| 5d | gmpm2 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-19.5) | BuyMiami (FL)52¢ → 0¢ | $1,390 | −$1,390 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | gmpm2 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) | BuyMiami (FL)49¢ → 0¢ | $18,441 | −$18,441 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | IAmHomelessNow | Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) | BuyMiami (FL)49¢ → 0¢ | $3,001 | −$3,001 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | HomeRunHazard | Florida State vs. Miami (FL): O/U 55.5 | BuyOver53¢ → 100¢ | $2,036 | +$1,806 +89% | 14 |
| 6d | ferrariChampions2026 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-19.5) | BuyFlorida State49¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$1,157 +104% | 12 |
| 6d | Sydnar | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | BuyMiami (FL)92¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$240 +8.7% | 6 |
| 7d | MAGATheeStallion | Spread: Miami (FL) (-21.5) | BuyFlorida State54¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,703 +85% | 9 |
In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Miami (FL), scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 means the market gives it about 50%.