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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison vs. Oregon | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306d | EscalateFund | James Madison vs. Oregon | SellOregon>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | PathologicPathologist | Spread -21.5 | SellJames Madison>99¢ | $2,052 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | Somber-Bee | James Madison vs. Oregon | SellOregon>99¢ | $2,051 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | Jack0nchain | James Madison vs. Oregon | SellOregon>99¢ | $5,149 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | smegma3000 | James Madison vs. Oregon | SellOregon>99¢ | $11,815 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | apucimama | James Madison vs. Oregon | SellOregon>99¢ | $2,459 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | mudman88 | James Madison vs. Oregon | SellOregon>99¢ | $4,342 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | Vorsh | James Madison vs. Oregon | SellOregon>99¢ | $4,384 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 306d | DouYing | James Madison vs. Oregon | SellOregon>99¢ | $180,183 | −$180 −0.1% | — |
| 306d |  sleepy-panda | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon>99¢ | $1,742 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d | ethanaz | Spread -21.5 | BuyJames Madison15¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$7,933 +567% | 4 |
| 306d | DouYing2 fills | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $158,725 | +$11,088 +7.0% | 6 |
| 306d |  ACEE123 | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon97¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | +$40 +3.1% | 4 |
| 306d | akos7 | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyJames Madison10¢ → 0¢ | $2,158 | −$2,158 −100% | 4 |
| 306d | Popeyesfriedchicken | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon96¢ → 100¢ | $3,498 | +$146 +4.2% | 4 |
| 306d | Jack0nchain | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon96¢ → 100¢ | $4,948 | +$206 +4.2% | 4 |
| 306d | mudman88 | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $4,055 | +$291 +7.2% | 4 |
| 306d | gmpm8 fills | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon45¢ → 0¢ | $116,138 | −$116K −100% | 14 |
| 306d | primm2 fills | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyJames Madison7¢ → 0¢ | $7,119 | −$7,119 −100% | 12 |
| 306d | 0xead0…f3ba | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyJames Madison7¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 4 |
| 306d | c4c42 fills | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $77,930 | +$5,866 +7.5% | 6 |
| 306d |  Parliament | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$376 +7.5% | 6 |
| 306d | gmpm | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $279,000 | +$21,000 +7.5% | 6 |
| 306d | 0x5375…aeea2 fills | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon44¢ → 0¢ | $3,117 | −$3,117 −100% | 14 |
| 306d | skkjhgda | Spread -21.5 | SellOregon43¢ → 0¢ | $1,258 | +$1,258 +100% | — |
| 306d | CanadianGoose7 fills | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $50,028 | +$3,872 +7.7% | 6 |
| 306d | sovereign2013 | O/U 46.5 | BuyUnder48¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 14 |
| 306d | SeriouslySirius39 fills | Spread -21.5 | BuyJames Madison57¢ → 100¢ | $136,757 | +$103K +75% | 14 |
| 306d | Pimping | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon43¢ → 0¢ | $2,775 | −$2,775 −100% | 14 |
| 306d | gmanas | Spread -21.5 | BuyJames Madison56¢ → 100¢ | $14,534 | +$11,419 +79% | 14 |
| 306d | Latina7 fills | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon44¢ → 0¢ | $104,547 | −$105K −100% | 14 |
| 306d | gmanas3 fills | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon44¢ → 0¢ | $4,641 | −$4,641 −100% | 12 |
| 306d | c4c44 fills | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon43¢ → 0¢ | $8,631 | −$8,631 −100% | 14 |
| 306d | BlindOrangutan | O/U 47.5 | BuyOver50¢ → 100¢ | $1,793 | +$1,793 +100% | 14 |
| 306d | deadskin | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $4,903 | +$369 +7.5% | 6 |
| 306d | Somber-Bee | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | +$144 +7.5% | 6 |
| 306d |  TheOnlyHuman3 fills | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon43¢ → 0¢ | $7,783 | −$7,783 −100% | 14 |
| 306d | jaytee158 | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $9,990 | +$752 +7.5% | 6 |
| 306d | Etherewl | Spread -21.5 | BuyJames Madison58¢ → 100¢ | $3,513 | +$2,544 +72% | 14 |
| 306d | sovereign20132 fills | O/U 45.5 | BuyOver52¢ → 100¢ | $5,132 | +$4,737 +92% | 14 |
| 306d |  GamblingIsAllYouNeed | O/U 46.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$1,720 +104% | 14 |
| 306d | sovereign20133 fills | O/U 46.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $6,594 | +$6,863 +104% | 14 |
| 306d | TeamGG2 fills | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $200,000 | +$15,596 +7.8% | 6 |
| 306d | onlyinvegas | O/U 46.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$1,093 +104% | 14 |
| 306d |  Stupidity | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon43¢ → 0¢ | $1,593 | −$1,593 −100% | 14 |
| 306d | Vorsh | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $4,081 | +$307 +7.5% | 6 |
| 306d | hose | Spread -21.5 | BuyJames Madison58¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$840 +72% | 14 |
| 306d |  Ajwritescrypt0 | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon43¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
| 306d |  JohnLeftman | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon43¢ → 0¢ | $2,851 | −$2,851 −100% | 14 |
| 306d | sovereign20132 fills | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon44¢ → 0¢ | $4,090 | −$4,090 −100% | 12 |
| 306d | sovereign2013 | O/U 45.5 | BuyUnder49¢ → 0¢ | $1,389 | −$1,389 −100% | 14 |
| 306d | PathologicPathologist | Spread -21.5 | BuyJames Madison56¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$904 +79% | 14 |
| 306d | EscalateFund | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $3,720 | +$280 +7.5% | 6 |
| 306d | Friendly-Spreadsheet | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon45¢ → 0¢ | $2,448 | −$2,448 −100% | 20 |
| 306d | smegma3000 | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$828 +7.5% | 6 |
| 306d | Svelte-PlentyNew account | O/U 45.5 | BuyUnder49¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | −$1,059 −100% | 23 |
| 307d |  PringlesMax | Spread -21.5 | BuyJames Madison56¢ → 100¢ | $40,402 | +$31,744 +79% | 14 |
| 307d | Dental-Ammunition | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$151 +7.5% | 6 |
| 307d | Mywheypatriots | Spread -21.5 | BuyOregon45¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 12 |
| 307d | AgriasOaks | James Madison vs. Oregon | BuyOregon92¢ → 100¢ | $2,855 | +$248 +8.7% | 6 |
Avarice312,260 sharesIn the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 20 at 7:30PM ET: If the James Madison win, the market will resolve to "James Madison". If the Oregon win, the market will resolve to "Oregon". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for James Madison vs. Oregon means the market gives it about 0%.