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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan vs. Michigan State | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 50¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · 50¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% | +25 pts | — | 50¢ · 100¢ (50¢) | — | ended |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · 50¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363d | Valid-Facsimile | O/U 47.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,296 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 363d | takeme2themoon | Spread -13.5 | BuyMichigan State99¢ → 100¢ | $7,969 | +$86 +1.1% | 4 |
| 363d | takeme2themoon | Michigan vs. Michigan State | BuyMichigan>99¢ | $3,485 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 363d | sovereign2013 | Spread -14.5 | BuyMichigan State53¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | +$1,307 +89% | 14 |
| 363d | 0x02e65d10e83eb391ca0c466630f82790854e25 | Michigan vs. Michigan State | BuyMichigan83¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$340 +20% | 9 |
Melloni6 shares
ElectroEater2,472 shares
Usernombre1,000 shares
PatD3500 sharesIn the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:30PM ET: If the Michigan win, the market will resolve to "Michigan". If the Michigan State win, the market will resolve to "Michigan State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Michigan vs. Michigan State means the market gives it about 100%.