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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -7.5 | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Penn State vs. Michigan State | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 48.5 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% | +1 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 50.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 342d | howboutthemcookies | Spread -6.5 | BuyPenn State75¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | +$575 +33% | 4 |
| 342d |  JohnLeftman | Spread -6.5 | BuyPenn State75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 4 |
| 342d |  duderr | Spread -7.5 | BuyMichigan State55¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | EdwardLewis | Penn State vs. Michigan State | BuyMichigan State28¢ → 0¢ | $1,775 | −$1,775 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | potko | Penn State vs. Michigan State | BuyPenn State72¢ → 100¢ | $22,394 | +$8,709 +39% | 13 |
| 342d |  Stupidity | Spread -7.5 | BuyMichigan State54¢ → 0¢ | $2,430 | −$2,430 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | dobobrwar | Spread -6.5 | BuyPenn State56¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$2,640 +79% | 14 |
| 342d | slight- | Spread -7.5 | BuyMichigan State53¢ → 0¢ | $7,373 | −$7,373 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | 4-seas | Spread -7.5 | BuyMichigan State53¢ → 0¢ | $2,528 | −$2,528 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | potko | Spread -7.5 | BuyPenn State47¢ → 100¢ | $4,921 | +$5,549 +113% | 14 |
| 342d | 4-seas | O/U 49.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 100¢ | $1,610 | +$1,451 +90% | 14 |
| 342d | kobraa2 fills | Spread -7.5 | BuyMichigan State53¢ → 0¢ | $8,438 | −$8,438 −100% | 14 |
| 342d |  Flipadelphia | Spread -7.5 | BuyMichigan State54¢ → 0¢ | $5,400 | −$5,400 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | sadilamb | Spread -7.5 | BuyMichigan State53¢ → 0¢ | $5,300 | −$5,300 −100% | 14 |
| 342d | GP18 | O/U 48.5 | BuyUnder48¢ → 100¢ | $2,435 | +$2,640 +108% | 12 |
| 342d | GP18 | Spread -6.5 | BuyMichigan State44¢ → 0¢ | $1,356 | −$1,356 −100% | 12 |
| 342d | sovereign2013 | Spread -6.5 | BuyMichigan State44¢ → 0¢ | $2,541 | −$2,541 −100% | 12 |
| 342d | comon119 | Spread -6.5 | BuyPenn State56¢ → 100¢ | $3,440 | +$2,703 +79% | 12 |
| 342d | comon119 | Spread -7.5 | BuyPenn State47¢ → 100¢ | $4,728 | +$5,331 +113% | 12 |
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 15 at 3:30PM ET: If the Penn State win, the market will resolve to "Penn State". If the Michigan State win, the market will resolve to "Michigan State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Spread -7.5 means the market gives it about 100%.