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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo vs. Michigan State | 0% | −21 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Spread: Michigan State (-10.5) | 0% | −48 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% | +44 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% | +28 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% | +58 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 50.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% | +38 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% | +22 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 17.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 25.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 21.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 30.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 13.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 19.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| CJ Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Marvis Parrish: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| John Alan Richter: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Adjatay Dabbs: Anytime Touchdown | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Charles Taplin: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Rico Bond: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Brennan Parachek: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Terrell Crosby Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 32.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo 2H O/U 5.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo 2H O/U 7.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo 2H O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% | +25 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% | +23 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 11.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 14.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 20.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 23.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 22.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 28.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 31.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 34.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 12.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 15.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 18.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 24.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Toledo 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Toledo 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 21.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 24.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 27.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 33.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 23.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 26.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 29.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State O/U 35.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Toledo 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 16.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Toledo O/U 25.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Toledo 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Toledo 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Toledo 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cam Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Brandon Tullis: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Alessio Milivojevic: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Chrishon McCray: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Connor Walendzak: Anytime Touchdown | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| KK Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Daryl Barnett Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jake Newell: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Rodney Bullard Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Jayden Savoury: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Anthony Simpson: Anytime Touchdown | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d | -JB- | Spread -5.5 | BuyMichigan State99¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 49d | -JB- | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BuyMichigan State>99¢ | $1,115 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 49d | LSS1 | O/U 38.5 | BuyOver93¢ → 100¢ | $4,715 | +$343 +7.3% | 4 |
| 49d | wr0ngw4yb3tt0r | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BuyToledo16¢ → 0¢ | $1,103 | −$1,103 −100% | 4 |
| 49d |  mooseborzoi | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BuyMichigan State85¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$176 +17% | 4 |
| 49d | Substantial-Service5 fills | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BuyToledo9¢ → 0¢ | $18,370 | −$18,370 −100% | 4 |
| 49d | 0b17 fills | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BuyMichigan State87¢ → 100¢ | $37,104 | +$5,402 +15% | 4 |
| 49d |  RN1 | O/U 56.5 | BuyUnder67¢ → 100¢ | $1,729 | +$852 +49% | 4 |
| 49d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Spread: Michigan State (-10.5) | BuyToledo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$1,702 +85% | 14 |
| 49d | TheMathGod | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BuyMichigan State79¢ → 100¢ | $3,180 | +$845 +27% | 11 |
| 49d | ic4cream | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BuyMichigan State79¢ → 100¢ | $5,732 | +$1,524 +27% | 11 |
| 49d |  Kosherlocks3 fills | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BuyMichigan State79¢ → 100¢ | $70,000 | +$18,198 +26% | 11 |
| 49d |  nigiri99 | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BuyMichigan State78¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$346 +28% | 11 |
| 49d | ferrariChampions2026 | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BuyToledo22¢ → 0¢ | $5,246 | −$5,246 −100% | 14 |
| 49d | HomeRunHazard | O/U 47.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $2,163 | +$2,251 +104% | 12 |
| 49d | HomeRunHazard | O/U 44.5 | BuyOver58¢ → 100¢ | $2,506 | +$1,815 +72% | 12 |
| 51d |  CrackAlex | O/U 46.5 | BuyOver53¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | +$1,169 +89% | 9 |
| 52d | lukibazdonauki7542 fills | 4Q Moneyline | SellToledo39¢ → 0¢ | $11,583 | +$11,583 +100% | — |
| 52d |  Cypya2 fills | 4Q Moneyline | BuyToledo28¢ → 0¢ | $2,858 | −$2,858 −100% | 6 |
| 52d | lukibazdonauki7545 fills | 4Q Moneyline | BuyToledo26¢ → 0¢ | $7,534 | −$7,534 −100% | 6 |
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 4 at 8:00PM ET: If Toledo wins, the market will resolve to "Toledo". If Michigan State wins, the market will resolve to "Michigan State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Toledo vs. Michigan State means the market gives it about 0%.