Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80–81% | 100% | +12 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| 78-79% | 0% | 0 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| 79–80% | 0% | −4 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| 81–82% | 0% | 0 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| 82–83% | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| 83–84% | 0% | — | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| 84%+ | 0% | 0 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| <78% | 0% | −12 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
This market will resolve according to ChatGPT’s global AI chatbot market share on October 31, 2025. The relevant data will be sourced from StatCounter Global Stats, utilizing the following settings: Statistic: AI Chatbot; Checked: All Devices; Region: Worldwide; Period: Daily (https://gs.statcounter.com/ai-chatbot-market-share#daily-20251014-20251020). Only the first released data will be considered; later revisions will not be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the data is not reported by November 15, 2025, 11:59 p.m. ET, or if the primary resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, an alternative resolution source will be selected.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80–81% means the market gives it about 100%.