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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 497d | playforfun | China bans US films before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 519d |  Gemini456 | China bans US films before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,728 | +$42 +1.5% | 4 |
froggiemeow100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Chinese government announces or enacts an official ban on all films produced in the United States between May 5 and June 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of a ban will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the ban goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be information from the government of China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.