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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d | h038596027355 | Chirayu Rana fired? | BuyYes51¢ → 50¢ | $1,020 | −$20 −2.0% | 20 |
| 175d | paperhandedfool | Chirayu Rana fired? | BuyYes47¢ → 50¢ | $1,003 | +$64 +6.4% | 20 |
| 175d | Chirayu Rana fired? | BuyYes69¢ → 50¢ | $1,383 | −$379 −27% | 20 | |
| 175d | CipherMT | Chirayu Rana fired? | BuyNo77¢ → 50¢ | $1,549 | −$540 −35% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chirayu Rana ceases to be employed by Bregal Sagemount for any length of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rana’s resignation, termination, or departure from Bregal Sagemount before this market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Bregal Sagemount or Chirayu Rana, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 50%.