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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$23m | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $20-23m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $17-20m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$17m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 916d |  aenews2 | <$17m | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,597 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 916d | aenews23 fills | >$23m | BuyYes>99¢ | $40,901 | +$41 +0.1% | 4 |
| 917d |  funnyday | <$17m | SellNo>99¢ | $5,716 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 918d |  enderone | $17-20m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,617 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 918d | enderone | <$17m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,283 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 918d | enderone | >$23m | SellYes>99¢ | $2,053 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 921d | Melody626 | >$23m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,044 | −$21 −1.0% | — |
| 922d | professorx | $17-20m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 923d | professorx3 fills | <$17m | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,653 | +$28 +0.3% | 4 |
| 926d | enderone | <$17m | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$66 +6.4% | 4 |
| 926d |  crystalfalls | <$17m | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$77 +7.5% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$23m means the market gives it about 100%.