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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 10 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 15 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 20 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 25 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 8 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d |  ArmageddonRewardsBillyBoy | March 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,925 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | March 25 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,801 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,719 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d |  ProfitMuhammedPBUH2 fills | March 10 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,868 | +$241 +2.7% | 20 |
| 230d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH2 fills | March 8 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $8,043 | +$373 +4.6% | 20 |
| 230d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | March 15 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | +$59 +3.0% | 20 |
| 230d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | March 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,409 | +$52 +3.7% | 20 |
bjprolo120 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Claude by Anthropic is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 10 means the market gives it about 100%.