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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manfred Reyes Villa | 100% | +3 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Edgar Javier Rodriguez | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristian Tastaca | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ronald Antonio Unzueta | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ramón Daza | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francisco Javier Bellott | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Zavaleta | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rocio Alejandra Molina | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luis Roberto Perrogón | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214d | gorovi | Manfred Reyes Villa | SellYes>99¢ | $7,506 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  carySantano2 fills | Manfred Reyes Villa | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,912 | +$40 +1.0% | 10 |
| 218d |  PutoZeloTrump | Manfred Reyes Villa | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,122 | +$24 +1.1% | 10 |
| 222d | add-case | Manfred Reyes Villa | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | −$39 −3.5% | — |
| 227d | Prudent-Clockwork | Ramón Daza | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,025 | −$30 −0.6% | — |
| 227d | Rural-Decoration | Ramón Daza | BuyNo100¢ | $5,060 | +$25 +0.5% | 10 |
| 227d | Educated-Reject | Ramón Daza | BuyNo100¢ | $5,035 | +$25 +0.5% | 10 |
| 227d | Prudent-Clockwork | Ramón Daza | BuyNo100¢ | $5,030 | +$25 +0.5% | 10 |
| 227d |  Sentinel28 | Manfred Reyes Villa | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$44 −4.2% | — |
| 238d |  archaic | Manfred Reyes Villa | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | −$34 −2.7% | — |
| 240d | archaic | Manfred Reyes Villa | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$56 +4.2% | 10 |
The Cochabamba mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Manfred Reyes Villa means the market gives it about 100%.