Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Cepeda Castro | 100% | 0 pts | +72 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Vicky Dávila | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luis Gilberto Murillo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Claudia López | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Luna Sánchez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Juan Daniel Oviedo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gustavo Bolívar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Fajardo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Juan Manuel Galán | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germán Vargas Lleras | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paloma Valencia | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abelardo de la Espriella | 0% | 0 pts | −70 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Roy Barreras | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Quintero | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Juan Carlos Pinzón | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mauricio Cárdenas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Enrique Peñalosa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142d | Iván Cepeda Castro | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,783 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 142d | thcdmz | Iván Cepeda Castro | BuyYes100¢ | $1,636 | +$8 +0.5% | 10 |
| 144d | Iván Cepeda Castro | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$7 +0.6% | 10 | |
| 144d | jddlt | Iván Cepeda Castro | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,189 | −$58 −1.8% | — |
| 145d | Iván Cepeda Castro | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,957 | +$46 +1.2% | 10 | |
| 145d | Iván Cepeda Castro | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$26 +2.0% | 10 | |
| 145d | perroperro | Iván Cepeda Castro | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | +$27 +2.0% | 10 |
| 145d | Iván Cepeda Castro | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | −$45 −0.9% | — | |
| 145d | Iván Cepeda Castro | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$122 +6.6% | 10 | |
| 146d | Paloma Valencia | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$74 −7.1% | — | |
| 151d | Paloma Valencia | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,704 | +$173 +6.4% | 10 | |
| 151d | Iván Cepeda Castro | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$2,291 +218% | 12 | |
| 167d | marchonnow | Paloma Valencia | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$417 +30% | 10 |
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Iván Cepeda Castro means the market gives it about 100%.