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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the morning or evening in-person Columbia University 2024 commencement ceremonies, presently scheduled for May 15, are postponed or cancelled. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as a postponement or cancellation is announced for either in-person commencement ceremony. If no postponement or cancellation is announced, this market may only resolve to "No" once both commencement ceremonies have begun. If either or both commencement ceremonies are changed to a digital format, so that no in-person ceremony will occur, it will be considered "cancelled" and this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Columbia University, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.