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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Ecuador vs. Argentina) | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Argentina | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409d |  nba | Argentina | SellNo>99¢ | $2,178 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 409d |  eitherway | Ecuador | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,536 | −$36 −1.0% | — |
| 409d | ilovecircle | Ecuador | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,247 | −$1,247 −100% | 14 |
| 409d | eitherway | Ecuador | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$2,500 +233% | 14 |
| 409d | sharpyx00 | Ecuador | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 13 |
| 409d |  786B | Ecuador | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $4,246 | −$4,246 −100% | 13 |
| 409d | FunBranch1 | Ecuador | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$2,514 +209% | 14 |
| 409d | FunBranch1 | Argentina | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 14 |
luggl1,187 shares
0010001000001100359 shares
TimeTraveler104 sharesThis event is for the upcoming South America World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 9, 2025 between Ecuador and Argentina.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ecuador means the market gives it about 100%.