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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449d |  noreasapa | Congressman joins the America Party before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,003 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 449d | anciano | Congressman joins the America Party before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,236 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 449d | peepeepooppoop4 fills | Congressman joins the America Party before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,395 | +$180 +1.6% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a current member of the U.S. Congress—defined as a sitting U.S. Senator or Representative—publicly announces they have joined or switched their party affiliation to the "America Party," by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Expressions of interest, financial donations, or statements of ideological sympathy will not alone qualify unless accompanied by a clear claim of party affiliation. If the entity is referred to as the “America Party” or a name deemed by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same organization launched by Elon Musk it will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.