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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shane Gillis | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dave Portnoy | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zach Bryan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mike Mayock | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Cracker of the Year award.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 100%.