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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 864d | prerichhomiecon | Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,309 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 867d |  PaeniscusBit2 fills | Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,465 | +$64 +2.6% | 4 |
| 885d | BeN | Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$50 +2.6% | 4 |
| 886d | Kellerman12 | Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$26 +2.6% | 4 |
| 935d |  OneMoneyPlz | Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$57 +4.0% | 4 |
| 938d |  VibesGreaterRules | Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | −$106 −5.3% | — |
| 950d |  LBZcapital3 fills | Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,950 | −$279 −3.5% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Craig Steven Wright is proven to be Bitcoin creator "Satoshi Nakamoto", or part of a collective called "Satoshi Nakamoto", by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence that Craig Steven Wright is the creator of Bitcoin, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.