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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813d | professorx | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,029 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 813d | BeN2 fills | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,547 | −$32 −0.9% | — |
| 813d | mitraa | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,379 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 818d |  fhantombets | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | −$36 −1.8% | — |
| 818d | papito | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,715 | −$49 −1.8% | — |
| 819d | papito | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,717 | +$47 +1.7% | 20 |
| 820d | BeN3 fills | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,059 | +$105 +2.1% | 20 |
| 820d |  Skip-Earthwax | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$22 +2.0% | 20 |
| 820d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,055 | +$44 +2.1% | 20 |
| 820d |  Car | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$50 +3.3% | 20 |
| 821d |  MALDEMER | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | −$41 −3.5% | — |
| 821d |  elmcap2 | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $16,672 | +$695 +4.2% | 20 |
| 821d | Navvh187 | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$44 +4.3% | 20 |
| 821d | Yammy-325 | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$73 +4.2% | 20 |
| 821d | GevenSoats2 fills | CrowdStrike caused by a hack? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $16,524 | +$689 +4.2% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the July 19 CrowdStrike outage was caused by a hack by July 26, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. Government and CrowdStrike. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.