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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d | mohanad | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,196 | −$23 −0.6% | — |
| 720d |  Apsalar | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,760 | +$1,760 +100% | — |
| 720d | Apsalar | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $6,600 | −$6,600 −100% | 17 |
| 723d | Apsalar3 fills | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $9,523 | +$8,035 +84% | 10 |
| 724d | Apsalar4 fills | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | SellNo57¢ → 100¢ | $6,579 | −$4,869 −74% | — |
| 724d |  itsgg4 fills | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $11,723 | +$9,133 +78% | 10 |
| 730d |  redbloodzcell | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,950 | −$1,950 −100% | 11 |
| 732d | redbloodzcell2 fills | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $5,376 | +$3,221 +60% | 10 |
| 735d | HDLD6 fills | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $7,045 | +$4,697 +67% | 10 |
| 735d | HDLD4 fills | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $4,697 | −$3,131 −67% | — |
| 738d | kingfisher | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$900 +82% | 10 |
| 739d | mohanad | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,241 | +$1,833 +82% | 10 |
| 747d | 996877 | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $2,526 | +$2,526 +100% | — |
| 747d | 41454 | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $5,015 | −$5,015 −100% | — |
| 748d | 41454 | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $5,015 | +$5,015 +100% | 10 |
| 750d | itsgg | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $4,292 | −$4,467 −104% | — |
| 758d | itsgg | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | SellYes51¢ → 0¢ | $4,940 | +$4,940 +100% | — |
| 765d | itsgg | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $4,447 | −$4,447 −100% | 10 |
| 804d | goingsocial | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $2,042 | −$2,042 −100% | 10 |
| 808d | rjpoly | Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | −$2,300 −100% | 11 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Democratic candidate other than Joe Biden wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.