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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | SnowLover7 | Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary? | BuyDems99¢ → 100¢ | $2,102 | +$21 +1.0% | 10 |
| 234d | mwenya2 fills | Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary? | BuyDems84¢ → 100¢ | $3,358 | +$642 +19% | 10 |
| 241d |  scottilicious | Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary? | BuyDems67¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$500 +49% | 12 |
Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to “Dems” if the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary (total canvass votes in the primary) is greater than the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary. This market will resolve to “GOP” if the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. If the first-round total vote count in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the either relevant election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.