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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$8b | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $8-$9b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $9-$10b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $10-$11b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $11-$12b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >$12b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 931d |  OneMoneyPlz | <$8b | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,841 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 932d | undertaker | $11-$12b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,548 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 932d | undertaker | $10-$11b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,548 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 932d | undertaker | $9-$10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,548 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 932d | undertaker | >$12b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,548 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 932d | undertaker | $8-$9b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,548 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 932d | Bonez0r | <$8b | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,544 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 932d |  LBZcapital | <$8b | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | +$27 +2.0% | 5 |
| 934d | TeamGnosis | <$8b | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | −$305 −25% | — |
| 935d | LBZcapital | $8-$9b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,079 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 938d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | >$12b | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$70 +5.3% | 4 |
| 939d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | $11-$12b | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$66 +4.2% | 4 |
awd
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <$8b means the market gives it about 100%.