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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8-9b | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$4b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $4-5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $5-6b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $6-7b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $7-8b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >$9b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 875d |  Squee | $5-6b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,960 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 875d | Squee | $4-5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,205 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 876d |  ablaze | <$4b | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,976 | −$26 −0.5% | — |
| 876d | ablaze | <$4b | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,999 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 877d |  lunka | $4-5b | SellNo>99¢ | $4,938 | −$19 −0.4% | — |
| 877d | lunka | $4-5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,949 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 878d | Squee | $6-7b | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | +$237 +14% | 6 |
| 884d | Squee | <$4b | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | +$189 +12% | 4 |
| 884d |  redbloodzcell | $4-5b | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $8-9b means the market gives it about 100%.