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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89 | 100% | +68 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| <30 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-39 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-49 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-59 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-69 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-79 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-99 | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-109 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110-119 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-129 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 130+ | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 714d | WigglyWaffles | 90-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,197 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 714d | WigglyWaffles | 80-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,047 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 714d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 80-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,611 | +$18 +0.5% | 20 |
| 715d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | 80-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,860 | +$30 +0.5% | 20 |
| 715d |  Jez | 100-109 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,393 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 716d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | 80-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,079 | −$1,079 −100% | 20 |
| 717d |  Parz1vaI | 80-89 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $2,607 | −$2,607 −100% | 20 |
| 718d | Parz1vaI2 fills | 70-79 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,303 | +$119 +3.6% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Donald Trump from November 1 to November 8.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80-89 means the market gives it about 100%.