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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | 100% | +64 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1-2 | 0% | −55 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5-6 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7-8 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9-10 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11-14 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 686d | longtern | 3-4 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,382 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 686d | 3-4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,043 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 686d | rpo | 5-6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,090 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 686d | longtern | 3-4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,033 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 686d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | 20+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,959 | +$34 +0.1% | 20 |
| 687d | 20+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,524 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 687d | 20+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,800 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 687d | 3-4 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | +$28 +2.1% | 21 | |
| 687d | braveB | 1-2 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,485 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 687d | 3322088 | 3-4 | SellNo69¢ → 0¢ | $6,904 | +$6,904 +100% | — |
| 688d | gg322 | 1-2 | SellYes61¢ → 0¢ | $3,051 | +$3,051 +100% | — |
| 688d | 1-2 | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,297 | −$1,297 −100% | 24 | |
| 688d | 38870 | 1-2 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,501 | +$2,501 +100% | 25 |
| 688d | gg322 | 1-2 | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,501 | −$2,501 −100% | — |
| 688d | 358811 | 3-4 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $5,002 | +$5,003 +100% | 25 |
| 688d | 38870 | 1-2 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,503 | −$2,503 −100% | 25 |
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Donald Trump between November 29 and December 6.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 3-4 means the market gives it about 100%.