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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35-39 | 100% | +29 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <5 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5-9 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-24 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-29 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-34 | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40+ | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 736d | changemymind | 35-39 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 736d | Nicojump | 40+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,672 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 736d |  AgricultureSecretary | 30-34 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,485 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 737d |  MOUTY124 | 35-39 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,235 | −$1,235 −100% | 25 |
| 737d |  OUYTTSA | 35-39 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,033 | −$1,033 −100% | 25 |
| 737d |  MUST | 35-39 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,171 | −$1,171 −100% | 25 |
| 737d | mmmpieee | 35-39 | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 24 |
| 737d | JohnyBrawooo | 25-29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,811 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 739d |  dingSUSD | 35-39 | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,625 | +$1,625 +100% | — |
| 739d | dingSUSD | 35-39 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,675 | −$1,675 −100% | 22 |
| 739d | Mkslw | 35-39 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | −$1,005 −100% | 22 |
| 739d | argers | 35-39 | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | +$1,005 +100% | — |
| 739d | argers | 35-39 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | −$1,005 −100% | 22 |
| 740d | Madox | 15-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,109 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 740d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | 15-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,582 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 740d | Sffgewg | 35-39 | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 22 |
| 740d |  OUMATin | 40+ | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$560 −54% | — |
| 740d | Sffgewg | 40+ | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | −$800 −47% | — |
| 740d | Sffgewg | 40+ | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$800 +47% | 22 |
| 740d | Lsssq | 40+ | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$435 +41% | 22 |
| 740d | Sassd | 40+ | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | −$750 −43% | — |
| 740d | Sassd | 40+ | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$750 +43% | 22 |
| 740d | Wfgfd | 35-39 | SellNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,188 | +$1,188 +100% | — |
| 740d | Wfgfd | 35-39 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,242 | −$1,242 −100% | 22 |
| 740d | Eyjy | 35-39 | SellNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,122 | +$1,122 +100% | — |
| 740d | Eyjy | 35-39 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,104 | −$1,104 −100% | 22 |
| 740d | Axsfvf | 40+ | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$450 +43% | 22 |
| 740d | Aqxcd | 40+ | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$465 −45% | — |
| 740d | Aqxcd | 40+ | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$465 +45% | 22 |
| 740d | fdgfhg | 35-39 | SellNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | +$1,020 +100% | — |
| 740d | fdgfhg | 35-39 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 22 |
| 740d | Bsfw-123 | 35-39 | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | +$1,005 +100% | — |
| 740d | Bsfw-123 | 35-39 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,035 | −$1,035 −100% | 22 |
| 740d | Tfssfd | 25-29 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$197 −16% | — |
| 740d | Tfssfd | 25-29 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$140 +11% | 21 |
| 740d |  Mrmarket334 | 40+ | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$418 +34% | 22 |
| 740d | Ssjs | 25-29 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | −$150 −11% | — |
| 740d | Ssjs | 25-29 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$120 +8.7% | 21 |
| 740d | Professorr-127 | 25-29 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$125 +10% | 21 |
| 740d | Vdfhrh | 35-39 | SellNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | +$1,360 +100% | — |
| 740d | Vdfhrh | 35-39 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | −$1,360 −100% | 22 |
| 740d | Qlkjddd | 35-39 | SellNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | +$1,360 +100% | — |
| 740d | Qlkjddd | 35-39 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | −$1,360 −100% | 22 |
| 740d | Yifan | 15-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,946 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Donald Trump from October 11 to October 18.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 35-39 means the market gives it about 100%.