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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89 | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <10 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 7¢ | — | ended |
| 10-19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-29 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-39 | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-49 | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-59 | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-69 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-79 | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90+ | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 80-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,135 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 724d |  Parz1vaI | 50-59 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$33 +1.5% | 20 |
| 725d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 30-39 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$53 +3.7% | 21 |
| 725d |  meowinglion | 90+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$45 −4.4% | — |
| 725d | meowinglion | 80-89 | SellNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,266 | +$1,266 +100% | — |
| 725d | Parz1vaI | 30-39 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$107 +8.3% | 21 |
| 725d | Parz1vaI2 fills | 20-29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,969 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 727d | hiramzi | 20-29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,567 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 727d | hiramzi | 10-19 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,567 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 727d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | 10-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,393 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 728d | hiramzi | 10-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,567 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 728d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 10-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 728d | Desy-1725192185234 | <10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,791 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Donald Trump between October 25 and November 1.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80-89 means the market gives it about 100%.