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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30-34 | 100% | +98 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| <5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5-9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-14 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-19 | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-24 | 0% | −75 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-29 | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35-39 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-49 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 742d |  pirateshere | 30-34 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,019 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 742d | alig | 25-29 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,960 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 742d | Yifan | 40-49 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,260 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 743d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 30-34 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$151 +8.7% | 20 |
| 743d |  XiJinPing-478 | 25-29 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 743d | alig | 25-29 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,465 | +$152 +2.0% | 20 |
| 743d |  AgricultureSecretary | 25-29 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,021 | +$312 +10% | 20 |
| 743d | 123ewqe | 30-34 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $5,055 | +$5,055 +100% | 30 |
| 743d | AgricultureSecretary | 20-24 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$24 +2.2% | 21 |
| 743d | Yifan | 50+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,489 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 743d |  scout | 15-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,575 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 743d | chocolate123 | 15-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 743d | scout | 40-49 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,956 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 743d | scout | 50+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,258 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 743d | Jocobe104 | 50+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,210 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 743d | hiska | 40-49 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 744d | Jocobe104 | 50+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,211 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 744d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,845 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d | longtern | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,054 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d | rpo | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,784 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d | pirateshere | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,224 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 744d | AgricultureSecretary | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,486 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 745d | Yifan | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 745d | chocolate123 | 5-9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,363 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 745d | panasmrs | 40-49 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,023 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 746d |  YES | 5-9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d | chocolate123 | <5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,035 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Donald Trump from October 4 to October 11.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 30-34 means the market gives it about 100%.