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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15-19 | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <5 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| 5-9 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-14 | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-24 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-29 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-39 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-49 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 764d |  scout | 25-29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,029 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d | scout | 30-39 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,764 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 20-24 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$15 +1.5% | 21 |
| 764d | siodmy | 30-39 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d | Piaty | 30-39 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d | Czwarte | 30-39 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d | trzecie | 30-39 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d |  LEGACY-ACCT | 10-14 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | +$164 +11% | 23 |
| 765d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | 50+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,388 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 765d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 40-49 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,162 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 765d | figaro | 40-49 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,444 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 765d | Fenomeno | 50+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,300 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 765d | WmouseCry | 25-29 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 766d |  AgricultureSecretary3 fills | 5-9 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,451 | +$37 +0.8% | 20 |
| 766d | LEGACY-ACCT | 5-9 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$31 +3.1% | 20 |
| 767d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | <5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,585 | +$27 +0.2% | 20 |
| 768d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 30-39 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$55 +4.2% | 20 |
| 768d | Edemil | <5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,688 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d | IONLYBETONX | 20-24 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$298 +25% | 21 |
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Donald Trump from September 13 to September 20.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 15-19 means the market gives it about 100%.