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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30-39 | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <5 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5-9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-14 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-19 | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-24 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-29 | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40+ | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 752d | WmouseCry | 40+ | SellNo37¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$1,699 −170% | — |
| 754d |  JoebamaBiden | 10-14 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,440 | +$60 +2.5% | 20 |
| 756d | Nvidoia | <5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,815 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 756d | JoebamaBiden | <5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Donald Trump between September 27 and October 4.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 30-39 means the market gives it about 100%.