Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Match Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Any Player Rampage | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,592 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 27d | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $2,981 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 27d | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $6,036 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 27d | Dearest-Urge2 fills | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $51,032 | −$51 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Dearest-Urge | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $2,991 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | xianyulee | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $2,146 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | SpecStavok | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $2,077 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | taijun77889 | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,141 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | dwedwd | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $5,655 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | mujemuje | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,891 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | kutsumiakia | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,297 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | makizinchers | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,248 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | wewbo | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,351 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Sergevna | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,438 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | suntori | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $4,446 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Sparkling-Meal | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $2,243 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | iii252 | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $2,345 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | krasnoesolnishko | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $2,310 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | ebateldoti | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,671 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | pipipi1502 fills | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere>99¢ | $8,581 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 27d | chaoyue666 | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 27d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere97¢ → 100¢ | $4,850 | +$150 +3.1% | 5 | |
| 27d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere80¢ → 100¢ | $7,218 | +$1,759 +24% | 11 | |
| 27d | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere97¢ → 100¢ | $5,424 | +$189 +3.5% | 5 | |
| 27d | StakesForFun | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere98¢ → 100¢ | $4,916 | +$84 +1.7% | 5 |
| 27d | gxxyy3 fills | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere93¢ → 100¢ | $4,949 | +$366 +7.4% | 6 |
| 27d | Mimiza | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere94¢ → 100¢ | $3,105 | −$198 −6.4% | — |
| 27d | hff. | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere95¢ → 100¢ | $3,128 | +$165 +5.3% | 6 |
| 27d | suntori3 fills | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere80¢ → 100¢ | $4,706 | +$1,203 +26% | 11 |
| 27d | makizinchers | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere92¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$99 +9.0% | 7 |
| 27d | GrimFable | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere91¢ → 100¢ | $2,277 | +$227 +10.0% | 7 |
| 27d | lfg100k | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere91¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$503 +10% | 7 |
| 27d | kutsumiakia | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere90¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$131 +11% | 7 |
| 27d | ribalka3 fills | Game 2 Winner | SellAurora44¢ → 0¢ | $6,369 | +$6,369 +100% | — |
| 27d | olegio3 fills | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora39¢ → 0¢ | $4,667 | −$4,667 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | Volodya95902 fills | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere62¢ → 100¢ | $3,378 | +$2,062 +61% | 14 |
| 27d | donaldbush | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere76¢ → 100¢ | $2,388 | +$736 +31% | 12 |
| 27d | Pivozavr15 | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora58¢ → 0¢ | $2,456 | −$2,456 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | RainbowStar | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora54¢ → 0¢ | $2,456 | −$2,456 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | krasnoesolnishko | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora52¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora43¢ → 0¢ | $6,986 | −$6,986 −100% | 14 | |
| 27d | Straight-Recipient2 fills | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora45¢ → 0¢ | $11,072 | −$11,072 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora48¢ → 0¢ | $11,511 | −$11,511 −100% | 14 | |
| 27d | PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR4 fills | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora44¢ → 0¢ | $12,000 | −$12,000 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | Volodya95903 fills | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora43¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora52¢ → 0¢ | $7,111 | −$7,111 −100% | 14 | |
| 27d | Ulfsaar | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere67¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$623 +49% | 14 |
| 27d | Dearest-Urge | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere83¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$509 +20% | 10 |
| 27d | yishiwucheng13 fills | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere69¢ → 100¢ | $21,823 | +$9,961 +46% | 14 |
| 27d | xianyulee | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere64¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$716 +56% | 14 |
| 27d | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere67¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$984 +49% | 14 | |
| 27d | Sparkling-Meal | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere67¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$752 +50% | 14 |
| 27d | Jvbcfjb2 fills | Game 2 Winner | BuyAurora38¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | dwedwd | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere65¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$636 +55% | 14 |
| 27d | RandomVibecoder | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere62¢ → 100¢ | $2,091 | +$1,281 +61% | 14 |
| 27d | BLASTwinner | Game 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere70¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$638 −43% | — |
| 27d | sashasasha5 | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere69¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | +$618 +45% | 14 |
| 27d | harizma | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere71¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,038 +42% | 14 |
| 27d | PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR | Game 2 Winner | BuyNatus Vincere71¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,253 +42% | 14 |
| 27d | motivatorgl | Game 2 Winner | SellAurora35¢ → 0¢ | $1,319 | +$1,319 +100% | — |
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Aurora and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Game 1 Winner means the market gives it about 0%.