Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Match Winner | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | — | ended |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% | +47 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% | −3 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | −7 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | −3 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | −7 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% | −8 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72d | Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling | Game 2 Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $33,917 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | 8D1cDXikbIYM5T | Match Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $6,867 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | Mature-Yoyo-Hurricane | Game 1 Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $1,030 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling | Game 1 Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $123,769 | −$124 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | Game 2 Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $1,721 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 72d | gxxyy | Game 2 Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $5,948 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | Game 2 Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $2,600 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 72d | Neighboring-Profit | Match Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $2,792 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | Neighboring-Profit | Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $1,469 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | assdass | Match Winner | BuyIron Wing>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 72d | Match Winner | BuyIron Wing99¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | +$20 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 72d | Game 1 Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $4,440 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 72d | Game 2 Winner | BuyIron Wing>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 72d | hiogarden | Game 2 Winner | SellIron Wing84¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | −$335 −19% | — |
| 72d | gxxyy | Game 2 Winner | BuyIron Wing89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 8 |
| 72d | hiogarden | Game 2 Winner | BuyIron Wing82¢ → 100¢ | $1,747 | +$383 +22% | 10 |
| 72d | 239393828 | Match Winner | SellIron Wing90¢ → 100¢ | $2,236 | −$238 −11% | — |
| 72d | hff. | Game 2 Winner | BuyIron Wing93¢ → 100¢ | $5,394 | +$417 +7.7% | 6 |
| 72d | Game 2 Winner | BuyIron Wing93¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$122 +7.6% | 6 | |
| 72d | Game 1 Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $1,266 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 72d | minji | Match Winner | BuyIron Wing90¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$112 +11% | 7 |
| 72d | Game 2 Winner | BuyIron Wing78¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$422 +29% | 11 | |
| 72d | Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling2 fills | Game 2 Winner | BuyIron Wing68¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$9,448 +47% | 14 |
| 72d | Trungl | Game 1 Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $2,229 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | Roulette1 | Game 1 Winner | SellIron Wing>99¢ | $6,613 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | Peakluo | Game 1 Winner | SellIron Wing99¢ → 100¢ | $7,867 | −$79 −1.0% | — |
| 72d | TrumpFaather | Match Winner | BuyIron Wing75¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$398 +33% | 12 |
| 72d | 239393828 | Match Winner | BuyIron Wing72¢ → 100¢ | $1,781 | +$693 +39% | 13 |
| 72d | Game 1 Winner | BuyIron Wing75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$496 +33% | 12 | |
| 72d | bvrs | Game 1 Winner | SellNigma Galaxy28¢ → 0¢ | $1,272 | +$1,272 +100% | — |
| 72d | Peakluo2 fills | Game 1 Winner | BuyIron Wing67¢ → 100¢ | $2,314 | +$1,143 +49% | 14 |
| 72d | Game 1 Winner | BuyNigma Galaxy37¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 | |
| 72d | Excentrico | Game 1 Winner | SellNigma Galaxy42¢ → 0¢ | $1,528 | +$1,528 +100% | — |
| 72d | canoflanagan2 fills | Game 1 Winner | BuyIron Wing58¢ → 100¢ | $3,948 | +$2,900 +73% | 14 |
| 72d | DamwonChampions2026 | Game 1 Winner | BuyNigma Galaxy45¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 14 |
| 72d | Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling10 fills | Game 1 Winner | BuyIron Wing63¢ → 100¢ | $35,000 | +$20,335 +58% | 14 |
| 72d | Zywoo123 | Game 1 Winner | BuyNigma Galaxy42¢ → 0¢ | $1,759 | −$1,759 −100% | 14 |
| 72d | papuas | Game 1 Winner | BuyNigma Galaxy42¢ → 0¢ | $1,041 | −$1,041 −100% | 14 |
| 72d | Excentrico | Game 1 Winner | BuyNigma Galaxy41¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 |
| 72d | Game 1 Winner | BuyNigma Galaxy39¢ → 0¢ | $2,111 | −$2,111 −100% | 14 | |
| 72d | Game 1 Winner | BuyNigma Galaxy38¢ → 0¢ | $1,579 | −$1,579 −100% | 14 | |
| 72d | sportteryqq | Game 1 Winner | BuyIron Wing67¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$564 +49% | 14 |
| 72d | Weaseloftheweek | Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) | SellIron Wing44¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | −$2,462 −130% | — |
| 72d | Weaseloftheweek | Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) | BuyIron Wing44¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$1,636 +127% | 12 |
| 72d | Neighboring-Profit | Match Winner | BuyIron Wing71¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$810 +41% | 12 |
| 72d | 8D1cDXikbIYM5T2 fills | Match Winner | BuyIron Wing72¢ → 100¢ | $4,923 | +$1,946 +40% | 12 |
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Iron Wing and Nigma Galaxy in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win the match against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Iron Wing. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Game 1 Winner means the market gives it about 100%.