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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supply Chain | 100% | +6 pts | +9 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Black Friday | 100% | +6 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | −1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Amazon | 0% | −36 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dividend | 0% | −35 pts | −66 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Direct to Consumer / DTC | 0% | 0 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nike Factory | 0% | −48 pts | −69 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Retailer | 0% | −34 pts | −56 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Express Lane | 0% | −49 pts | −71 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Consumer Demand | 0% | +13 pts | +4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Skims / NikeSKIMS | 100% | +31 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sustainable | 100% | +5 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sabrina | 100% | +35 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stranger Thing | 0% | −47 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Digital Sales | 0% | −15 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309d | 8de8 | Black Friday | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,759 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 309d | yougotme | Tariff | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,710 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 309d | ForFamily | China | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,246 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 310d | boringbigbets | Supply Chain | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,456 | +$131 +5.3% | 21 |
Egalmar189 shares
jasb3320 sharesThis market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Nike currently scheduled to take place on December 18, 2025 at 5:00 PM EST. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Supply Chain means the market gives it about 100%.