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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City FC | 100% | +1 pts | −2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Newcastle United FC | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC) | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | Pythia | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,038 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | elitbozhi | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $4,592 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | MythicDan | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,229 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $44,414 | −$44 −0.1% | — | |
| 230d | kingdomofheaven | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,501 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | Jawako | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | ff3364 | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $7,684 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | TargetKTH | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,693 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | auggl00p | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $25,526 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | Bomver | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,081 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,994 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,304 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 230d | SMCAOMCRL | Draw (Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,719 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,517 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 230d | TB14 | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $20,159 | −$32 −0.2% | — |
| 230d | Emmy97 | Manchester City FC | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 230d | Draw (Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,400 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 230d | ausTaiwan | Manchester City FC | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,006 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,000 | +$17 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 230d | Verifiable-Lung | Newcastle United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $2,934 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | SMCAOMCRL | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,702 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 230d | MythicDan | Manchester City FC | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$41 +3.5% | 4 |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,916 | +$80 +4.2% | 4 | |
| 230d | Bomver | Manchester City FC | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$84 +4.2% | 4 |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$53 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,606 | −$126 −7.8% | — | |
| 230d | elitbozhi | Manchester City FC | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | +$86 +6.4% | 4 |
| 230d | MarinM | Manchester City FC | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$79 −7.5% | — |
| 230d | swisstony5 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $13,693 | +$17,115 +125% | 14 |
| 230d | BMU67 | Manchester City FC | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $6,764 | −$3,236 −48% | — |
| 230d | Soccertraderdegen | Manchester City FC | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $11,042 | −$6,016 −54% | — |
| 230d | randomguy48 | Manchester City FC | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $4,463 | −$2,281 −51% | — |
| 230d | metski29 | Manchester City FC | SellNo30¢ → 0¢ | $2,348 | +$2,348 +100% | — |
| 230d | RandomPunter | Manchester City FC | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $5,526 | +$7,288 +132% | 4 |
| 230d | swisstony16 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $53,302 | −$53,302 −100% | 14 |
| 230d | Lilybaeum | Manchester City FC | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,114 | −$1,114 −100% | 4 |
| 230d | auggl00p | Manchester City FC | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $2,247 | +$3,103 +138% | 4 |
| 230d | ChallengerSpecialist | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,239 | +$828 +37% | 4 |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,511 | +$1,511 +100% | — | |
| 230d | Imsolonely | Manchester City FC | SellYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,712 | −$2,568 −150% | — |
| 230d | Tattered-Hay | Manchester City FC | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | −$2,329 −161% | — |
| 230d | Soccertraderdegen5 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $5,837 | +$9,372 +161% | 12 |
| 230d | TB142 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$10,571 +235% | 4 |
| 230d | Draw (Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC) | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 | |
| 230d | lvcn | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,878 | +$1,043 +56% | 4 |
| 230d | metski292 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $4,885 | −$4,885 −100% | 4 |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $18,000 | +$26,459 +147% | 4 | |
| 230d | K9O2 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $4,035 | +$6,178 +153% | 4 |
| 230d | elizabeth.ethcome3 fills | Draw (Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC) | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $6,375 | +$2,125 +33% | 4 |
| 230d | Cannae | Manchester City FC | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,635 | −$1,635 −100% | 4 |
| 230d | dechuan | Manchester City FC | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $2,135 | −$2,135 −100% | 4 |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,999 | +$1,999 +100% | — | |
| 230d | MrDouche | Manchester City FC | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $5,100 | +$5,100 +100% | — |
| 230d | elkmonkey11 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $26,982 | +$36,279 +134% | 4 |
| 230d | Innocent-Insulation | Manchester City FC | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 4 |
| 230d | elizabeth.ethcome | Manchester City FC | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$9,000 +150% | 4 |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $5,014 | +$7,843 +156% | 4 | |
| 230d | Manchester City FC | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | −$1,823 −163% | — | |
| 230d | konkludentno | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $10,268 | +$5,058 +49% | 4 |
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between Newcastle United FC and Manchester City FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Manchester City FC means the market gives it about 100%.