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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City FC | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Arsenal FC | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC) | 0% | +17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214d | PeterSagan5 fills | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $13,549 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | Powerless-Diving | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,248 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 214d |  matanovik | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $10,352 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | odyss | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,081 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | crappera | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $4,386 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | Contrariandog | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,898 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | sinestia | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $5,495 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | sinestia | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $5,645 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 214d |  arjennnnn | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 214d |  lostnpeace | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,804 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | SuicidalTrader | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | Tropic-Thunder | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,069 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | ChompChomp888 | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,402 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | randomguy48 | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $5,477 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | 527-505 | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,302 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | ngfjt342uq | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | helloggwp | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $4,297 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | goasg | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $4,086 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 214d |  PedroNetoyahu | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $4,702 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,463 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | lawboffin | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,942 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | Goddidit2 fills | Manchester City FC | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,616 | −$195 −4.2% | — |
| 214d | xxyi | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $4,139 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | Boring-RubberNew account | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,200 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 214d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | Manchester City FC | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,401 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 214d | 4hamilton | Manchester City FC | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 214d | swisstony3 fills | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC) | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,739 | +$1,146 +20% | 4 |
| 214d | sadw312 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $10,361 | +$503 +4.9% | 4 |
| 214d | K1t0ng2 | Manchester City FC | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$22 +1.1% | 4 |
| 214d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,614 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 214d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | Arsenal FC | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,445 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 214d | lostnpeace | Manchester City FC | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,762 | +$43 +2.5% | 4 |
| 214d | Kenan-19052 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,588 | +$306 +3.6% | 4 |
| 214d | Solmaxi8888.sol | Manchester City FC | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,477 | +$108 +3.1% | 4 |
| 214d | odyss | Manchester City FC | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$83 +4.2% | 4 |
| 214d | 527-505 | Manchester City FC | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$65 +5.3% | 4 |
| 214d | Onetwothreehoodofpaper | Manchester City FC | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$83 −7.5% | — |
| 214d | Boring-RubberNew account | Manchester City FC | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$63 +5.6% | 7 |
| 214d | swisstony26 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $70,370 | +$45,995 +65% | 12 |
| 214d | polyfam | Manchester City FC | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$70 +6.4% | 4 |
| 214d | Kukars | Manchester City FC | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | −$117 −7.5% | — |
| 214d |  uuu3456 | Manchester City FC | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $22,502 | +$1,142 +5.1% | 4 |
| 214d | swisstony2 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,724 | +$205 +7.5% | 4 |
| 214d | Colossal-Quince7 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,892 | +$279 +1.0% | 4 |
| 214d | freeman123 | Manchester City FC | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$98 +7.5% | 4 |
| 214d | arjennnnn2 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,059 | +$357 +7.1% | 4 |
| 214d | Pungent-Protest | Manchester City FC | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | −$141 −8.7% | — |
| 214d | Clever-Skiing | Manchester City FC | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,133 | −$533 −8.7% | — |
| 214d | Tropic-Thunder | Manchester City FC | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$64 +6.4% | 4 |
| 214d | EF203F2IPFC2ICP20W-CP32 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $3,496 | +$2,892 +83% | 4 |
| 214d | jimmy4989trader | Manchester City FC | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | −$98 −8.7% | — |
| 214d | violetblue | Manchester City FC | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,688 | −$234 −8.7% | — |
| 214d | violetblue | Arsenal FC | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | −$74 −2.7% | — |
| 214d | crappera | Manchester City FC | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,083 | +$307 +7.5% | 4 |
| 214d | RoadTo1MillionUsd | Manchester City FC | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | −$133 −8.7% | — |
| 214d | Aaaaaguess | Manchester City FC | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,431 | −$319 −9.3% | — |
| 214d | sadw31 | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,415 | +$346 +6.4% | 4 |
| 214d |  FUUSOCIETY2 fills | Manchester City FC | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,233 | −$791 −24% | — |
| 214d | Lilybaeum2 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,535 | +$1,069 +30% | 4 |
| 214d | helloggwp | Manchester City FC | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$301 +7.5% | 4 |
This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Manchester City FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Manchester City FC means the market gives it about 100%.