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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City FC | 100% | +44 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Newcastle United FC | 0% | −21 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC) | 0% | −22 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 261d | 0xsven | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,506 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | OntheHedge | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,349 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | SuicidalTrader | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,130 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | Used-Efficiency | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,985 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | reduxrenaissance | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,235 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 261d |  NONGG | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $4,610 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | 0x3dee…3d1b | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $5,282 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | Moneyloverfrom95 | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $3,188 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 261d |  derduth | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,113 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | fibbonacci | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $12,976 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | TexMexTRex | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $3,568 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | xxSecretSaucexx | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $5,693 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | tyumnal | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,537 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | Acclaimed-Marsh | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $5,206 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | B4tmn | Manchester City FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,572 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | tttttttttttttttttttttftttttttttttttttttttt | Manchester City FC | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,496 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 261d | Soltator | Manchester City FC | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 261d | hanlunzhang | Manchester City FC | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,133 | +$174 +2.1% | 4 |
| 261d | B4tmn | Manchester City FC | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | +$55 +3.6% | 4 |
| 261d | brak3n | Manchester City FC | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$58 +5.1% | 4 |
| 261d |  PokemonSlabs | Manchester City FC | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$23 +1.5% | 4 |
| 261d | diamanti77 | Manchester City FC | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,049 | +$100 +2.0% | 4 |
| 261d | NONGG2 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,517 | +$97 +2.2% | 4 |
| 261d | SuicidalTrader | Manchester City FC | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$23 +2.1% | 4 |
| 261d |  -AL- | Manchester City FC | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,885 | −$48 −2.5% | — |
| 261d |  Loraaaaaa2 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,600 | +$112 +1.2% | 4 |
| 261d | MaxBig | Manchester City FC | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$35 −3.1% | — |
| 261d | Aware-Frontier | Manchester City FC | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,233 | −$67 −3.0% | — |
| 261d | joosangyoo | Manchester City FC | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,541 | +$155 +2.4% | 4 |
| 261d | swisstony3 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $3,942 | +$2,854 +72% | 14 |
| 261d | TB142 fills | Manchester City FC | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $8,219 | −$705 −8.6% | — |
| 261d |  RN12 fills | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $15,878 | +$4,744 +30% | 4 |
| 261d | Moneyloverfrom95 | Manchester City FC | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$278 +12% | 4 |
| 261d | n.maga2 fills | Manchester City FC | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,812 | −$1,202 −32% | — |
| 261d | jaytee158 | Manchester City FC | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $10,571 | +$1,721 +16% | 4 |
| 261d | 12398498123498189239843 | Manchester City FC | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$344 +30% | 4 |
| 261d | n.maga | Manchester City FC | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$532 +43% | 4 |
| 261d | TexMexTRex | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $26,207 | +$2,203 +8.4% | 4 |
| 261d | TexMexTRex | Manchester City FC | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,071 +43% | 4 |
| 261d | d0082 fills | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$409 +14% | 4 |
| 261d | EF203F2IPFC2ICP20W-CP33 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $9,988 | +$4,633 +46% | 4 |
| 261d | Lilybaeum | Manchester City FC | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,044 | +$962 +47% | 4 |
| 261d | nz7 | Manchester City FC | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,686 | −$1,686 −100% | 4 |
| 261d | 0xsven | Manchester City FC | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$454 +43% | 4 |
| 261d | gollaza | Newcastle United FC | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | −$192 −16% | — |
| 261d | gollaza | Manchester City FC | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | −$640 −47% | — |
| 261d | n.maga | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | +$810 +37% | 4 |
| 261d | elizabeth.ethcome | Manchester City FC | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $4,590 | +$4,410 +96% | 4 |
| 261d | Fadepix | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 261d | Ed.foj | Manchester City FC | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 4 |
| 261d | EF203F2IPFC2ICP20W-CP3 | Manchester City FC | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | −$1,032 −100% | 4 |
| 261d | Acclaimed-Marsh | Manchester City FC | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,606 | +$2,606 +100% | 14 |
| 261d |  sleepy-panda4 fills | Manchester City FC | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $10,892 | +$10,329 +95% | 14 |
| 261d | Aware-Frontier | Manchester City FC | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$1,127 +96% | 17 |
| 261d |  chatCCP | Manchester City FC | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,519 | −$1,519 −100% | 14 |
| 261d |  UnfortunateSon | Manchester City FC | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,446 | −$1,446 −100% | 14 |
| 261d | Worthy-Burglar | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$2,000 +33% | 12 |
| 261d |  0010001000001100 | Newcastle United FC | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,867 | −$1,007 −35% | — |
| 261d | Cannae | Manchester City FC | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $2,088 | −$2,088 −100% | 14 |
| 261d | Cannae4 fills | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $7,736 | +$2,718 +35% | 13 |
This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Wednesday, February 4, 2026 between Manchester City FC and Newcastle United FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Manchester City FC means the market gives it about 100%.