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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1079d | Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$86 +6.8% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for >1,000 Palestinian refugees by November 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.