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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 668d | Okokol3 fills | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,712 | −$55 −1.2% | — |
| 668d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $35,175 | +$431 +1.2% | 20 |
| 670d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $27,048 | −$338 −1.2% | — |
| 670d |  debased2 fills | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,784 | −$48 −1.7% | — |
| 672d | IDontLikeRisk | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$18 +0.9% | 20 |
| 672d | Okokol3 fills | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,282 | +$76 +1.0% | 20 |
| 676d | mitraa | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,842 | +$43 +1.5% | 20 |
| 677d |  DEGENKHAN2 fills | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,055 | +$89 +2.9% | 20 |
| 677d | Skaliz2 fills | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,176 | +$85 +2.0% | 20 |
| 678d | TheBoyBilly... | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,652 | +$117 +3.2% | 20 |
| 696d |  Master-bettor | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$30 −2.7% | — |
| 696d |  MMousse | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,403 | +$233 +2.0% | 20 |
| 703d |  AvocadoLu | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$27 +2.7% | 20 |
| 709d | Ereviz.eth | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$25 +2.5% | 20 |
| 709d |  50Whence | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,733 | −$35 −2.0% | — |
| 710d | commeowder3 fills | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,438 | −$295 −5.4% | — |
| 714d | 50Whence | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,038 | +$184 +1.7% | 20 |
| 716d |  DegenerateJanet | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$32 +3.0% | 20 |
| 716d | DFKK | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$45 +3.8% | 20 |
| 717d | Master-bettor | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$94 +6.4% | 20 |
| 717d |  redbloodzcell | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,084 | −$180 −8.7% | — |
| 720d | tanguero24 | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$83 +7.0% | 20 |
| 722d | commeowder | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,360 | +$140 +5.9% | 20 |
| 726d |  Car | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,209 | −$458 −5.6% | — |
| 728d | Car | Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,461 | +$137 +4.0% | 20 |
Proregdegen856 shares
KingDon5 shares
hack5cronos2 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is arrested between October 24 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Elon Musk and information from Musk's legal representatives will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.