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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641d | darrenchk1 | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,234 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 659d | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,240 | +$24 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 660d | RD29 | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 668d | polyproguy | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,956 | +$28 +1.4% | 4 |
| 671d | TheBoyBilly... | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,791 | −$112 −3.0% | — |
| 689d | TheBoyBilly... | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,814 | +$90 +2.4% | 4 |
| 691d | polyscience | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,819 | −$178 −3.1% | — |
| 700d | Gdub | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,658 | −$32 −1.9% | — |
| 707d | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$19 −1.5% | — | |
| 715d | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$22 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 715d | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,943 | −$57 −2.9% | — | |
| 715d | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,230 | +$25 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 715d | polyscience | Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,017 | +$143 +2.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by January 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.