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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $430B - $435B | 100% | +52 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$430B | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $435B - $440B | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $440B - $445B | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $445B - $450B | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $450B+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d | ThereIsNoSpoon | $430B - $435B | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,647 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d | ThereIsNoSpoon | $450B+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,514 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 630d | Jamechar | $450B+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,040 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 631d |  AgricultureSecretary | <$430B | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | +$43 +2.7% | 5 |
| 631d | sleepin | $450B+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,019 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 631d |  OneBadBet | $430B - $435B | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,956 | +$125 +6.4% | 6 |
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/ is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $430B - $435B means the market gives it about 100%.