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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280-299 | 100% | +55 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <180 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-219 | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220-239 | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240-259 | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| 260-279 | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300+ | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 779d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 200-219 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,204 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 779d |  realAFC | 300+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$40 −3.8% | — |
| 780d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | <180 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,609 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 780d |  AgricultureSecretary | <180 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,373 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 |
This is a market on the number of posts made by Elon Musk between August 30 and September 6.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 280-299 means the market gives it about 100%.